The night between Tuesday 2 and Wednesday 3 June brought Tuscany back into an increasingly frequent scenario: torrential rains, floods, landslides, and a climate that alternates between anomalous heat and violent downpours. This was confirmed by the Centro Meteo Toscana, which on June 3 released a very clear analysis of the atmospheric situation and the prospects for the coming days.
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Climatic Extremization
The analysis opens with words that leave no room for interpretation: «Climatic extremization mode “On”. After the anomalous heat of recent days, there was an air change thanks to Atlantic infiltrations, and as always, downpours arrived, which on the evening of Tuesday, June 2, first affected the Arezzo area and then, during the night, all areas north of the Arno, with peaks of up to 120/130 millimeters in a few hours». According to meteorologists, these are exceptional values, well beyond the rain that would normally fall in an entire month of June. Such a concentrated amount of water explains the floods and landslides recorded in various areas of the region.
Warmer Sea and Extreme Storms
The Centro Meteo Toscana emphasizes how these episodes are no longer exceptions, but part of a new normal: «The new climate is now this: a sea constantly warmer than normal, extreme energy, and consequently, violent storms». Experts also recall the damage recorded in recent hours in Northern Italy, where hailstorms with hailstones of 4-5 centimeters and downburst gusts hit from Piedmont to Friuli. Phenomena that, until a few years ago, were considered very rare.
The Situation in Tuscany
In our region, precipitation was very abundant but irregularly distributed, as often happens in summer thunderstorms. «In Tuscany, as mentioned, it rained a lot, albeit with the usual large differences between one area and another – explains the Meteo Center – while now the south-westerly wind is felt along the coast. This situation will accompany us until tomorrow evening with rough or very rough seas». The south-westerly wind will therefore continue to blow strongly, making the sea rough and maintaining unstable conditions at least until Thursday evening.
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A New Front Arriving on Friday
The worsening is not over. «On the morning of Friday, June 5, another Atlantic front will again cross northern Italy and then move more marginally into Tuscany, crossing the region from northwest to southeast. New rains are expected, probably less intense than those we witnessed between June 2 and 3». The region could therefore experience another day of instability, albeit with less violent phenomena than those just passed.
Cool and then African Heat
After the disturbed passage, Saturday morning will bring temporary relief: «On the morning of Saturday, June 6, a very cool awakening – continues the CMT – with quite low minimums. But already from the afternoon and even more from Sunday, June 7, temperatures will start to rise again». From Sunday, in fact, Tuscany will enter the second wave of African heat of the season, with values returning to touch 34-35 degrees in the following week. The final comment from the Centro Meteo Toscana is a bitter summary of the situation: «The new normal is now this». An increasingly extreme climate, made of sudden changes, violent rains, and close heatwaves. A challenge that Tuscany, like the rest of the country, will have to learn to manage with increasing attention.